O’Reilly spoke about early adopters being a good predictor for technology trends. He compared the models of Napster and MP3.com (distributed vs. client-server models) and how it often takes someone to look at technology in a completely different way in order to make progress — cheap local storage and always-on networking are changing the computing landscape. He says the killer apps of today are all network applications: web, mail, chat, music sharing.
The best laugh came at the moment when he said that he thinks the phrase “Paradigm Shift” gets overused so much that it is starting to generate groans the way the phrase “The Knights Who Say Nee!” has done for years.
O’Reilly also spoke about applications migrating towards platforms. For example, instant messaging is an application (AIM, Y! Messenger, MSN Messenger) but it is becoming a platform (Jabber, AIM-iChat integration).